Has Modi Govt Run Out Of New Ideas.? Why Budget 2026 Broke Hopes & The Stock Market
- Fz Khan
- 02 Feb, 2026
§ Union Budget 2026 Disappoint
§ Sensex Crashes 1500+ Points – Is Modi Govt Out of Fresh Ideas.?
§ Nirmala Sitharaman’s 9th Budget focuses on 2047 vision but skips short-term fixes
§ STT hike hits F&O traders hard, markets tank, no big relief for common people amid economic storm warnings
§ Sensex falls 1500+ points after FM Nirmala Sitharaman’s speech
§ STT hike on F&O, long-term plans like rare earth corridors & capex boost but no immediate help for middle class
§ Full analysis & why markets crashed #UnionBudget2026 #Budget2026
Fz
Khan, Delhi:
The Union Budget 2026 was supposed to be a growth‑boosting, market‑friendly
roadmap but instead it shattered expectations with the Sensex crashing over
1,500 points during Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s speech.
Analysts say the budget is heavy on long‑term vision (2030–2047) but light on
concrete short‑term measures, especially for the middle class and common
businesses, raising the uncomfortable question: Has the Modi government run out
of new ideas to revive the economy.?
Details & Context
The 2026–27 budget is Nirmala Sitharaman’s ninth consecutive budget and it was expected to showcase the economic progress of the last nine years under the Modi government.
Instead, the speech focused on long‑term goals – “Viksit Bharat by 2047” –
while offering few immediate relief measures for the coming financial year.
The stock market reacted harshly with the Sensex falling over 1,500 points on budget day and mid‑cap and small‑cap indices underperforming as investors digested the STT hike on derivatives and other policy moves.
Key Takeaways From Budget 2026
i. Long‑Term Vision Over Short‑Term Relief
The budget is built around a 25‑year
vision for India with infrastructure, manufacturing and rare‑earth corridors
highlighted as the foundation for 2047.
But there is little clarity on timelines, funding or execution for projects
like bullet trains, freight corridors and rare‑earth corridors, leading critics
to call them “PowerPoint visions” rather than actionable plans.
ii. STT Hike on F&O Trading
The government raised Securities
Transaction Tax (STT) on futures from 0.02% to 0.05% and on options from 0.1%
to 0.15%, effective April 1, 2026.
This move, aimed at curbing speculative F&O trading, hit a market where
F&O notional turnover exceeded $1 trillion in a single month in 2024 and
80% of global F&O trades happen in India.
iii. Capital Expenditure & Infrastructure
The government has proposed a capex of ₹12
lakh crore for FY 2027, an 11% increase from last year, continuing the Covid‑era
push on roads, railways, bridges and sports infrastructure.
Seven high‑speed passenger corridors and a new freight corridor from Dankuni to
Surat are planned but funding sources and timelines remain unclear.
iv. Healthcare & Insurance
Healthcare funding has been slightly
increased to ₹1.5 lakh crore with customs duty eliminated for 17 essential
cancer and rare‑disease treatments.
However, public health spending remains at 1.9% of GDP, below the 2.5% target,
forcing many to rely on private health insurance.
v. Tax Changes & Middle Class
The government reduced TDS on foreign
travel from 20% to 2%, easing the burden on middle‑class travellers.
But there was no major tax relief for salaried taxpayers and retrospective tax
proposals on Sovereign Gold Bonds raised concerns about investor confidence.
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Quotes
·
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman
“This budget lays a strong foundation for our high‑flying vision of a
developed India in 2047.”
·
Market analysts
“Budget 2026 triggered market volatility as Sensex and Nifty fell sharply,
reflecting investor concern over key measures such as the STT hike and other
policy actions. Sensex sheds 1,500 points... biggest drop on a Budget Day”
·
Critics
“The entire structure of this budget is based on supply‑side thinking. Build
the infrastructure, build factories, streamline logistics. Everything else will
take care of itself.”
· On STT hike: Government says it’s to curb losses (93% F&O traders lose average ₹1.1 lakh) but critics call it “extortion” when markets are already weak.
· Long-term focus: “This budget lays a strong foundation for our high-flying vision of a developed India in 2047” – but no details on funding or timelines for new projects like bullet trains in Bengal or freight corridors.
Additional Information
The Economic Survey 2026 had already warned of an “economic storm”, yet the budget focused more on long‑term capacity building than immediate demand‑side measures.
Experts argue that without boosting real wages and consumption, even record
capex and infrastructure projects may not revive private investment or create
jobs quickly.
The STT hike on F&O is expected to reduce speculative trading but may also discourage foreign portfolio investors and increase volatility, as seen in the sharp market sell‑off on budget day.
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Impact Analysis
· Markets: The Sensex and Nifty saw one of their worst budget‑day performances with mid‑cap and small‑cap indices under performing.
· Middle Class: With no major tax relief and retrospective tax proposals, many feel left out of the budget’s benefits.
· Long‑Term Vision: The 2047 vision is inspiring but without clear execution plans, it risks becoming another election slogan.
The STT hike made F&O costlier, leading to sharp market drops – mid/small caps, defense, metals, banking all hit. Volatility (India VIX) rose fast. Long-term plans like rare earth corridors and semiconductors sound good for self-reliance but past schemes (Make in India, Atmanirbhar) had mixed results without strong execution. Capex growth is positive for jobs and growth but weak demand and stagnant wages mean people save more than spend. No big tax relief or consumption boost adds uncertainty. Retrospective tax on gold bonds erodes trust. Overall, it signals government betting on supply-side fixes but short-term pain could hurt middle class and investors more.
Conclusion
Budget
2026 is a mixed bag: bold long‑term vision, record capex and healthcare
improvements but disappointing short‑term relief and market‑unfriendly tax
hikes.
As India navigates an economic storm, the Modi government must balance vision
with execution to ensure growth, jobs and investor confidence.
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